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2024-12-13 10:29:02

European Central Bank President Lagarde: Economic growth is losing momentum.Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.The dollar index DXY fell more than 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.58. Non-US currencies collectively rose, with GBP/USD of GBP rising by more than 20 points, EUR/USD of EUR/USD of EUR/USD rising by about 20 points and USD/JPY of USD/JPY rising by about 50 points.


The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time in a row to boost the sluggish economy. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time in a row on Thursday, and hinted that with inflation approaching 2% and the economy in trouble, it will further cut interest rates next year. The deposit rate was lowered by 25 basis points to 3%, which was in line with the expectations of all but one of the analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. This makes the total easing range since June reach 100 basis points. In its statement, the European Central Bank abandoned the wording that the policy would be "fully restrictive for a necessary long time", indicating that its position has changed. "The Management Committee is determined to ensure that the inflation rate is sustainably stabilized at the medium-term target of 2%." The European Central Bank said on Thursday. "The central bank will adopt a method of relying on data and meeting one after another to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance."The European Central Bank expects inflation to cool down faster. It is reported that the European Central Bank now expects inflation to cool down slightly faster than the forecast in September. It currently predicts that the average inflation rate in 2024 and 2025 will be 2.4% and 2.1% respectively, compared with the previous forecast of 2.5% and 2.2% respectively. In the statement, the European Central Bank also said: "The anti-inflation process is on the right track."Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank: The restrictive hawkish tendency in ECB policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands: The European Central Bank decided to act safely today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future.


Russia said it would not make concessions on the Ukrainian issue and hoped to make contact with the US. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Zacharova said at a regular press conference on the 11th local time that Russia would not make concessions on the Ukrainian issue in response to the negotiation proposal put forward by US President-elect Trump on the 8th, and hoped to make contact with the US, but so far it has not received any "serious suggestions" from the team of US President-elect Trump. Zacharova also said that the recent statement of Ukrainian President Zelensky showed that "achieving peace is not a priority for Ukraine". Zelensky reiterated a few days ago that Uzbekistan will not sign any kind of peace agreement without security guarantee.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Potential inflation and inflation continue to return to the target in the same direction.Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.

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